Betting and DraftKings Report

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman Betting and DraftKings Report

Chile enjoyed an action packed show when the UFC came to town. This post will go over the event as well as the betting and DraftKings results to help us understand future bets and DraftKings lineups. Also the Betting and DraftKings Guide for this event will be analyzed to see how well it played out and what changes should have been made so be sure to check it out by clicking on the link below.

https://combatblogger.com/2018/05/19/ufc-fight-night-maia-vs-usman-betting-and-draftkings-guide/

Betting Report:

In this report I will be going over each fight result and taking a look at what would have been the wisest bets to make.

Claudio “El Nino” Puelles (+245) vs. Felipe Silva (-315)

The very first fight of the night had an insane comeback from the underdog in this fight. Felipe Silva was dominating the fight and landing heavy shots as I predicted he would on Claudio Puelles. In the final minutes of the third round, however, Puelles was able to catch Silva getting lazy on the ground by locking up a kneebar and getting the submission victory. This was infuriating to watch as Silva was my pick to win and was on his way to do so. Because Silva made a clueless move to go to the ground with Puelles, he ended up losing it all just like that.

Winner: Claudio Puelles via Submission in Round 3

Henry “Bure” Briones (+260) vs. Frankie Saenz (-340)

This fight went as predicted when Frankie Saenz was able to use his striking and wrestling to neutralize Henry Briones. There is not much to say about this fight other than how great Saenz looked. He was able to mix things up by using both his hand speed and takedowns to get the clear decision win. If you followed my advice and parlayed him with anothe sucessful bet or bets then you were on your way to making some easy money.

Winner: Frankie Saenz via Decision

Enrique “El Fuerte” Barzola (-225) vs. Brandon “Killer B” Davis (+175)

Well I said this would be a close one to pick but the oddsmakers were right to make Enrique Barzola the favorite in this fight. Barzola was able to control the fight from the start as he dominated Brandon Davis for the entirity of the fight. My advice was to not bet on anybody in this fight and I think it payed off pretty well.

Winner: Enrique Barzola via Decision

Gabriel “Moggly” Benitez (-205) vs. Humberto Bandenay (+165)

I did not know much about Humberto Bandenay going into this fight and now I know him as the guy who got knocked out due to a vicious slam by Gabriel Benitez. It has been a great couple of fights for Benitez recently seeing that he was able to beat Jason Knight and then get this impressive knockout win. When it comes to the bets for this fight, it was wise to save your money for another fight.

Winner: Gabriel Benitez via Knockout in Round 1

Poliano Botelho (-165) vs. Syuri Kondo (+135)

Poliano Botelho was able to get an awesome finish in record time against Syuri Kondo. She was able to land a body kick early that ended up hurting Kondo and giving her the eventual TKO victory. This was a fight that I advised staying away from due to the unpredictablity of the outcome. I doubt anybody predicted a record finish in this fight.

Winner: Poliano Botelho via Technical Knockout in Round 1

Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno (+115) vs. Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja (-145)

I predicted Brandon Moreno being able to avenge his loss to Alexandre Pantoja in this rematch. However, Pantoja was able to beat Moreno on both the feet and on the ground through just about the entire fight. This pick ended up being a bust but Pantoja may definitely be a good pick later down the road because he looked outstanding in this fight.

Winner: Alexandre Pantoja via Decision

Zak Cummins (-200) vs. Michel “Tractor” Prazeres (+160)

These two fighters exchanged some decent shots on the feet but their grappling was the real battle in this fight. Michel Prazeres was definitely landing the harder shots on Zak Cummins, but when it came to the grappling both guys were pretty evenly matched as they pushed for clinch control and takedowns. Prazeres was my bet to win this fight and I was able to turn a decent profit due to him getting the slight edge in this fight.

Winner: Michel Prazeres via Decision

Vicente “The Silent Assassin” Luque (-210) vs. Chad “The Disciple” Laprise (+170)

I predicted Chad Laprise’s pressure would lead to a victory on his end but it ended up costing him the fight this time around. Both fighters were doing decent standup with Vicente Luque looking like the sharper striker. Near the end of the first round Laprise charged in for a flurry to end the round but was hit with a great counter that turned his lights out. It was an impressive performance by Luque which would make him a pretty decent fighter to bet on in the future.

Winner: Vicente Luque via Knockout in Round 1

Veronica Macedo (+235) vs. Andrea “KGB” Lee (-305)

This fight won fight of the night in what was a pretty entertaining battle. Andrea Lee showed why she was the big favorite as she was able to beat Veronica Macedo in pretty much all areas. That is not to say that Macedo did not deliver any offense of her own but Lee ended up being thee clear winner in the judges’ eyes. It was a smart play to hold our money here because the yield wouldn’t have made it worth it.

Winner: Andrea Lee via Decision

Diego “Pitbull” Rivas (-165) vs. Guido “Ninja” Cannetti (+135)

This was another frustrating bet to lose. Guido Cannetti ended up beating Diego Rivas by decision due to the number of strikes he was able to land on Rivas and his takedown ability. Rivas seemed to have given up in the final minutes of the fight as he showed no urgency to get the finish when he was clearly down on the scorecards. It is incredibly disappointing when a fighter you bet on has no interest in winning the fight anymore.

Winner: Guido Canetti via Decision.

Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier (+190) vs. Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes (-240)

I predicted Jared Cannonier being able to tee off on Dominick Reyes in this fight due to Reyes being too hittable. That ended up happening but Cannonier’s power appeared to have left him because he was unable to knockout Reyes like he has to opponents prior. Instead, Reyes was able to land a clean uppercut to get the walkoff knockout victory. Cannonier will be a difficult bet to make in the future now that we see his power and chin fading away.

Winner: Dominick Reyes via Technical Knockout in Round 1

Alexa Grasso (+475) vs. Tatiana Suarez (-750)

Tatiana Suarez performed like the true heavy favorite she was in this fight. After she was able to secure a takedown, she proceded to submit the then undefeated Alexa Grasso in the very first round. She will be a great betting option in the future when the odds can give us a much better yield then the one she had in this fight.

Winner: Tatiana Suarez via Submission in Round 1

Demian Maia (+450) vs. Kamaru “Nigerian Nightmare” Usman (-700)

This went about as good as we all thought. Kamaru Usman was able to defend Demian Maia’s takedowns which completely neutralized Maia’s offense. Usman then proceeded to win the fight by decision by just oustriking Maia on the feet. I recommended not betting on this fight due to Usman being such a big favorite, so it seemed like it was a wise choice in the end.

Winner: Kimaru Usman via Decision

Betting statistics:

Here are a few interesting statistics and data that I have garnered for this card when it came to betting:

Upset wins:

Claudio Puelles (+245) def. Felipe Silva (-315)

Michel Prazeres (+160) def. Zak Cummins (-200)

Guido Cannetti (+135) def. Diego Rivas (-165)

Huge favorite wins:

Tatiana Suarez (-750) def. Alexa Grasso (+475)

Kumaru Usman (-700) def. Demian Maia (+450)

Fighters to keep an eye on in the future:

Tatiana Suarez

Vicente Luque

Alexandre Pantoja

Gabriel Benitez

Fighters to avoid in the future:

Jared Cannonier

Diego Rivas

Syuri Kondo

Bets I got right

Frankie Saenz (-340) def. Henry Briones (+260)

Michel Prazeres (+160) def. Zak Cummins (-200)

Tatiana Suarez (-750) def. Alexa Grasso (+475)

Kumaru Usman (-700) def. Demian Maia (+450)

DraftKings Report:

This report will be looking at the value the fighters brought versus their price and how well the lineup I made did overall.

Claudio “El Nino” Puelles ($6,800) vs. Felipe Silva ($9,400)

I drafted Felipe Silva because of his high finishing rate. He ended up losing the fight due to a careless mistake at the end. He managed to get 53 points however which was only 10 less than his opponent that submitted him making this not so bad of a loss.

Winning draft choice: Claudio Puelles with 63 points

Henry “Bure” Briones ($7,100) vs. Frankie Saenz ($9,100)

I recommended not drafting Frankie Saenz even though I predicted him to win. I did not see him getting a finish in this fight which ended up going the distance. Still, he brought a decent amount of points to anybody who picked him (just not as much as his price was).

Winning draft choice: Frankie Saenz with 99 points

Enrique “El Fuerte” Barzola ($8,900) vs. Brandon “Killer B” Davis ($7,300)

I recommended staying away from this fight due to it’s unpredictibility. However, if you picked Enrique Barzola then you were on your way to getting some easy money. Barzola ended up getting the most points out of anyone else on this card.

Winning draft choice: Enrique Barzola with 120.5 points

Gabriel “Moggly” Benitez ($8,500) vs. Humberto Bandenay ($7,700)

I did not have a prediction for this fight also due to it’s lack of information. Gabriel Benitez ended up being a great draft choice in the end, however. He brought some good points for his worth.

Winning draft choice: Gabriel Benitez with 109.5 points

Poliano Betelho ($8,700) vs. Syuri Kondo ($7,500)

Here is another fight I avoided. Poliano Botelho was the victor and ended up getting some good points in this one. Many people slept on Botelho seeing that only 12% drafted her. The ones that did had a decent edge on the competition.

Winning draft choice: Poliano Botelho with 104.5 points

Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno ($8,000) vs. Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja ($8,200)

I did not see a finish in this fight and, just as I predicted, this fight went the distance. Pantoja ended up getting the victory, but since he yielded so little compared to other winners at his price, it was best to avoid this one.

Winning draft choice: Alexandre Pantoja with 75.5 points

Zak Cummins ($8,400) vs. Michel “Tractor” Prazeres ($7,800)

I picked Michel Prazeres to win this fight which ended up being the right choice. The points he obtained though were very little making him somewhat of a poor choice as a draftpick.

Winning draft choice: Michel Prazeres with 69 points

Vicente “The Silent Assassin” Luque ($8,800) vs. Chad “The Disciple” Laprise ($7,400)

Vicente Luque destroyed my draft pick by knocking him out in the first round. Chad Laprise ended up as a bust while Vicente Luque gave anybody who drafted him a decent boost.

Winning draft choice: Vicente Luque with 107 points

Veronica Macedo ($7,000) vs. Andrea “KGB” Lee ($9,200)

Andrea Lee brought some decent points but was way too expensive for her worth. Still she was a better pick than her opponent Veronica Macedo.

Winning draft choice: Andrea Lee with 97 points

Diego “Pitbull” Rivas ($8,600) vs. Guido “Ninja” Cannetti ($7,600)

I thought Diego Rivas was going to be able to get the finish in this fight but instead the opposite happened. Guido Cannetti ended up getting the decision win which got some points which may have been appropriate for his price.

Winning draft choice: Guido Cannetti with 64.5 points

Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier ($7,200) vs. Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes ($9,000)

The winner of this fight was a definite must have due to both having the ability to get an early finish. I picked Jared Cannonier but Dominick Reyes ended up being the winning pick for anybody who picked him.

Winning draft choice: Dominick Reyes with 110 points

Alexa Grasso ($6,900) vs. Tatiana Suarez ($9,300)

I thought Tatiana Suarez was too pricey for her worth but she ended up getting an early finish and a lot of points on DraftKings. She was definitely worth the price.

Winning draft choice: Tatiana Suarez  with 113 points

Demian Maia ($6,700) vs. Kamaru “Nigerian Nightmare” Usman ($9,500)

Kumaru Usman was my pick to win this main event fight against Demian Maia. He ended up winning the bout by decision but did very little damage to his opponent. He was the most expensive fighter in the competition so him bringing so little makes him a bust.

Winning draft choice: Kamaru Usman with 73 points

 DraftKings statistics:

Here are a few interesting statistics and data that I have garnered for this card when it came to DraftKings:

Fighter with most points:

Enrique Barzola

Winning fighter with the least points:

Claudio Puelles

Worst value fighter:

Felipe Silva

Worst value winning fighter;

Kumaru Usman

Best value fighter:

Enrique Barzola

Sleeper pick:

Claudio Puelles (Only 8.9% drafted him)

Must-have pick:

Tatiana Suarez (51.8% drafted her)

My lineup:

  • ($9,500) Kamaru Usman – 73 FP
  • ($9,400) Felipe Silva – 53 FP
  • ($8,600) Diego Rivas – 21 FP
  • ($7,800) Michel Prazeres – 69 FP
  • ($7,400) Chad Laprise – 6.5 FP
  • ($7,200) Jared Cannonier – 3 FP

Best possible lineup:

  • ($8,900) Enrique Barzola – 120.5 FP
  • ($8,500) Gabriel Benitez – 109.5 FP
  • ($8,700) Poliano Botelho – 104.5 FP
  • ($7,800) Michel Prazeres – 63 FP
  • ($6,800) Claudio Puelles – 113 FP
  • ($9,300) Tatiana Suarez – 113 FP
Betting and DraftKings Guide

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman Betting and DraftKings Guide

The UFC returns to Chile when two of the best grapplers in the welterweight division battle it out in the main event of the evening. This post will give you the most plausible outcomes of the fights, the best bets to make on sports betting sites such as Bovada, and the most optimal lineup for DraftKings.

Betting Guide:

In this guide I will be giving my predictions on who will win the fight as well as the type of bet that you should consider placing.

Claudio “El Nino” Puelles (+245) vs. Felipe Silva (-315)

The early prelims kickoff with two prospects looking to get back ing the win column. Claudio Puelles became the runner-up for the The Ultimate Fighter Latin America 3 when he lost by TKO to Martin Bravo. Meanwhile, Felipe Silva is attempting to come back from a devastating first round knockout by the hands of Mairbek Taisumov. Puelles is a very well-rounded fighter who has a decent stand-up and grappling game. His problems lie on the feet, however, as he was beaten in his last fight due to constant pressure and due to his constant reaching with his lead hand which left him open to counter hooks from his opponent. Silva has shown a great striking game that includes pressuring his opponent with combinations that I see giving him a clear advantage in this fight. I think the only way Puelles wins is by successfully grappling Silva to the mat, but he needs to do so before he is taken out on the feet.

Bet to make: Silva is my pick to win but since he yields so little I would consider parlaying him with another bet or bets.

Henry “Bure” Briones (+260) vs. Frankie Saenz (-340)

Veteran Frankie Saenz goes up against Henry Briones in a fight that both fighters need to win. Briones is currently on a three fight losing streak having loss by knockout, submission, and decision. Frankie Saenz just snapped his three fight losing streak in his last fight when he won by split-decision against Merab Dvalishvili. Saenz’s head movement will help him greatly in this fight since Briones tends to keep his on the center line thus rendering him defenseless against counters. The grappling is also a clear win for Saenz because of his NCAA Division I wrestling skills.

Bet to make: I pick Saenz to win this one. Since he is a pretty big favorite then I would probably parlay him with another bet or bets.

Enrique “El Fuerte” Barzola (-225) vs. Brandon “Killer B” Davis (+175)

These two featherweights clash in what could be a potential fight of the night. Enrique Barzola edged out a decision win over Matt Bessette in his last fight while Brandon Davis did the same against Steven Peterson. This is a really close fight that will really test each fighter’s striking. Davis likes to go full speed from the very beginning which will likely see him win the early portion of the fight. But over time he has fatigued in the latter half of the fight which will see Barzol winning that portion of the fight.

Bet to make: I would recommend betting on nobody in this fight since it is such a close fight. If you really wanted to roll the dice though then I would pick the underdog in Brandon Davis.

Gabriel “Moggly” Benitez (-205) vs. Humberto Bandenay (+165)

Here we have a toss-up of a fight between Gabriel Benitez and Humberto Bandenay. Benitez dominated entertaining prospect Jason Knight in his last fight to win a decision while Bandenay shocked everyone with his devastating first round knockout win over The Ultimate Fighter Latin America 3 winner Martin Bravo. Benitez’s standup is superb and is complimented by his grappling skills. Not much is known on Bandenay since his only UFC fight lasted only 15 seconds.

Bet to make: I would stay away from this one due to the lack of information on Humberto Bandenay.

Poliano Botelho (-165) vs. Syuri Kondo (+135)

The women get a chance to shine as Poliano Botelho faces Syuri Kondo. Both Botelho and Kondo were able to get decision wins in their last fights in completely different ways. Botelho won by defending her opponent’s takedown while landing the occasional elbow. Kondo won her fight by a close split decision when she stood and traded strikes with her opponent. Both fighters have had only won fight in the UFC with very little being shown of their skills.

Bet to make: I would stay away from this fight as well due to the lack of information regarding how well each fighter would fare against one another.

Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno (+115) vs. Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja (-145)

Hot prospect Brandon Moreno returns when he takes on his The Ultimate Fighter fellow competitor Alexandre Pantoja. This is an interesting fight as both fighters already fought each other on The Ultimate Fighter in what was a war as both guys threw bombs against each other. Pantoja made a calculated move however and took Moreno down to submit him. I think this fight will go down differently though since Moreno has shown some decent cardio in his recent five-round fight against Sergio Pettis while Pantoja’s cardio was the reason he lost against Dustin Ortiz in his last bout. If Moreno can keep this fight standing then I see him getting the win

Bet to make: I believe the bet to make is Moreno getting the win in this fight.

Zak Cummins (-200) vs. Michel “Tractor” Prazeres (+160)

We got two submission specialists in this fight as Zak Cummins fights Michel Prazeres in the featured bout of the prelims. Cummins’ last fight was more than a year ago against Nathan Coy where he put him to sleep with a guillotine choke in the first round. Prazeres last won his fight a couple of months ago when he beat Desmond Green by decision. Although both guys have great submission games, both guys have shown some great striking that will make this an interesting fight. Prazeres has shown little holes in his game other than his cardio. However, I feel his cardio will be fixed in this fight since he is moving up in weight thus eliminating a hard weight cut that he normally went through. Add on to the fact that Cummins is coming off a long layoff and I see Prazeres taking this thing.

Bet to make: Prazeres is my pick to win this fight and the bet to make.

Vicente “The Silent Assassin” Luque (-210) vs. Chad “The Disciple” Laprise (+170)

The main card kicks off with two welterweights with high finishing rates squaring off against each other. Vicente Luque just had an impressive performance against Niko Price where he was able to drop his opponent and then lock in his signature D’arce choke for the win. Chad Laprise was able to overcome adversity in his last battle where he was able to survive being dropped by Galore Bofando and then went on to mount his opponent to achieve his TKO victory. I feel that Laprise will be able to keep this fight standing with his wrestling and will chase the knockout win. Luque’s striking is very technical and effective at a high level. However, when he is pressured by a fighter like Laprise with knockout power then he may be in for a bad night.

Bet to make: I pick Laprise to win and since he is the underdog I would recommend betting on him to win.

Veronica Macedo (+235) vs. Andrea “KGB” Lee (-305)

Veronica Macedo takes on UFC newcomer Andrea Lee in this women’s flyweight bout. Macedo last competed against Ashlee Evans-Smith in a losing effort where she was TKO’d in the third round. Andrea Lee has little info to go on for her making this a hard fight to put money on.

Bet to make: Once again we will be holding our money and not placing a bet on this fight since there is very little information to help us make an accurate prediction.

Diego “Pitbull” Rivas (-165) vs. Guido “Ninja” Cannetti (+135)

Two exciting fighters go head to head in this potential fight of the night. Diego Rivas put up a good fight in his most recent bout but was unable to overcome his opponent’s height and reach advantage. Guido Cannetti was landing some bombs on his last opponent but was ultimately caught in a triangle choke in the very first round. Both fighters are very skillful but I believe that Rivas is the more skillful opponent who has only one loss on his record due to fighting an opponent with a lengthier frame to his. Since he will be the slightly bigger man in this fight I have to go with him.

Bet to make: Rivas is the favorite to win so parlaying him with another bet or bets seems wise.

Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier (+190) vs. Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes (-240)

Here we have the biggest men on the card with Jared Cannonier going up against Dominick Reyes. Cannonier was unable to beat Jan Blachowicz in his last fight due to being unable to get past the jab while also getting taken down during the fight. Dominick Reyes, however, had back-to-back impressive wins with two first round finishes. Reyes is great at finishing his opponents but Cannonier is an animal that is hard to finish. Reyes also has a thinner frame than Cannonier’s hulking physique. Reyes has never lost but was eating some shots on the feet in his last fight. If he eats those same shots from Cannonier in this fight then you can expect for his lights to go out quick.

Bet to make: Jared Cannonier is a decent bet to make.

Alexa Grasso (+475) vs. Tatiana Suarez (-750)

The Ultimate Fighter 23 winner Tatiana Suarez returns to fight Alexa Grasso in this main card bout. Grasso was able to edge out a decision victory against Randa Markos in her last bout while Tatiana Suarez was able to dominate her last opponent by taking her down and grinding her for a clear decision victory. Grasso has great boxing that will give Suarez a run for her money but may have problems when it comes to Suarez’s wrestling. Usually the grappler wins in these striker vs. grappler matchups and Suarez is clearly the grappler in this fight. Suarez is the big favorite here for a reason and I say she is the pick to make.

Bet to make: Suarez is the huge favorite in this fight when it comes to the odds. I would consider not taking this bet at all since the yield is so little for the risk even if you parlay it with another bet or bets.

Demian Maia (+450) vs. Kamaru “Nigerian Nightmare” Usman (-700)

Finally we have the main event where Jiu-Jitsu legend Demian Maia takes on extremely talented wrestler Kamaru Usman. Maia last lost two back-to-back decisions to Tyron Woodley and Colby Covington while Usman is on an 11 fight win streak. Usman has high level wrestling that will more than likely keep this fight standing for him to take apart Maia on the feet. Maia is known as a pure grappler who doesn’t plan on keeping the fight standing long. However, Usman is great at both areas and will chase the knockout against one of the legends of this sport.

Bet to make: Usman is the pick to make here but since he is the biggest favorite on this card, I would suggest not picking him since to reward is so little to what is being risked even with a parlay. However, I would recommend checking out the odds of him getting the knockout/technical knockout victory whenever the numbers come out. That may be the best bet to place if they provide a decent return. (note that you cannot parlay methods of victory)

DraftKings Guide:

In this guide I will be going over each fighter on the card and giving my predictions on who you should consider for your lineup. I recommend doing head-to-head competitions on DraftKings due to your higher chance of winning. In tournaments there are multiple ties that reduce the grand prize into a very small fraction of what it originally was. Meanwhile in head-to-head you get 80% in profit of what you bet if you win.

Claudio “El Nino” Puelles ($6,800) vs. Felipe Silva ($9,400)

Felipe Silva is my pick to win this fight. He has a high finishing rate so he would be an excellent pick to get a some decent points. He is very pricey but for a good reason and I think he is well worth the price when paired with the right lineup.

Draft: Felipe Silva ($9,400)

Henry “Bure” Briones ($7,100) vs. Frankie Saenz ($9,100)

I picked Frankie Saenz to win this one but he has a low finishing rate. He can get us some points but for his price I think it is best we avoid him.

Draft: Nobody

Enrique “El Fuerte” Barzola ($8,900) vs. Brandon “Killer B” Davis ($7,300)

This was too close of a call to risk your lineup on. If you had to money to spend and wanted to risk it then Brandon Davis is the pick to make. However, my lineup will do just fine without him.

Draft: Nobody

Gabriel “Moggly” Benitez ($8,500) vs. Humberto Bandenay ($7,700)

I did not have a prediction for this fight due to the lack of information on Humberto Bandenay. So I would steer clear from picking either of these two unless you like bets on coin flips.

Draft: Nobody

Poliano Betelho ($8,700) vs. Syuri Kondo ($7,500)

Just like the last fight, I would stay away from these two due to the lack of information on Syuri Kondo. Also, women fights tend to have a lower chance of a finish which can hurt your lineup when it comes to points.

Draft: Nobody

Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno ($8,000) vs. Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja ($8,200)

Brandon Moreno is my pick to win this and could be a decent draft for our lineup. However, seeing that he lost his last fight against Alexandre Pantoja makes me skeptical to pick him for my lineup. Also it would be hard to get the finish against a guy like Pantoja.

Draft: Nobody

Zak Cummins ($8,400) vs. Michel “Tractor” Prazeres ($7,800)

I picked Michel Prazeres to win this fight and I believe he has a decent chance at getting a submission victory in this bout. His low price makes him an even better fighter to take as well.

Draft: Michel Prazeres ($7,800)

Vicente “The Silent Assassin” Luque ($8,800) vs. Chad “The Disciple” Laprise ($7,400)

Chad Laprise has a pretty decent finishing rate and is also my pick to win this fight. Add that with the sight of his price tag and he is a great addition to our lineups.

Draft: Chad Laprise ($7,400)

Veronica Macedo ($7,000) vs. Andrea “KGB” Lee ($9,200)

Again, no prediction was made for this fight due to lack of information on one of the fighters. Steer clear of this one.

Draft: Nobody

Diego “Pitbull” Rivas ($8,600) vs. Guido “Ninja” Cannetti ($7,600)

Diego Rivas is my pick to win this and has also a decent submission game. Guido Cannetti’s losses have all come by submission. I expect Rivas to get the finish thus yielding a decent amount of points.

Draft: Diego Rivas ($8,600)

Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier ($7,200) vs. Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes ($9,000)

It is hard to not draft the biggest men on the card since they are the most likely to get the finish. I predict Jared Cannonnier to get the knockout win in this fight and since he is incredibly cheap I recommend picking him.

Draft: Jared Cannonier ($7,200)

Alexa Grasso ($6,900) vs. Tatiana Suarez ($9,300)

Tatiana Suarez is the huge favorite to win this (my pick as well) and her price tag definitely shows it. She is just too pricey for what may be a decision victory for her. I say pass on drafting her.

Draft: Nobody

Demian Maia ($6,700) vs. Kamaru “Nigerian Nightmare” Usman ($9,500)

I almost always recommend drafting the winner of the main event or title fights since they have five rounds to rack up points and also a higher chance of a finish. Kamaru Usman is my pick to win this but this could end up blowing up in my face. If this becomes a grappling snoozefest that goes the distance then I will have wasted my money on little points. So we are hoping that Usman can light up Demian Maia on the feet and potentially get the finish to aid our lineups.

Draft: Kamaru Usman ($9,500)

Lineup:

Here is the final lineup I have created and will use for my DraftKings competition. I recommend doing your own research and doing a lineup that is best for you. You can copy and paste my lineup if you choose or make slight adjustments to what you think will happen. Be sure to check out the Betting and DraftKings report in the days that follow this UFC event to see how this guide played out and what were winners and losers on this lineup.

  • Kamaru Usman ($9,500)
  • Felipe Silva ($9,400)
  • Diego Rivas ($8,600)
  • Michel Prazeres ($7,800)
  • Chad Laprise ($7,400)
  • Jared Cannonier ($7,200)
What Happened?

What Happened? (UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno)

Another great night of fights have ended when an expert striker faced off against a young up and comer in a flyweight bout in Mexico City, Mexico. Now it is time to see how the fights went down and how my predictions fared at UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno:

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Alejandro “Turbo” Pérezvs. Andre “The Asian Sensation” Soukhamthath

This was a controversial decision win for Alejandro Pérez in this bout. He was dropped a total of three times throughout the fight but still managed to take the win. It was a close contest and I would have scored it for either man. Andre Soukhamthath needs to keep his head held up high because he showed his power in this fight as well. A finish could do him some good though.

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Sam “Smile’N” Alvey vs. “Suga” Rashad Evans

The first round went exactly how I predicted with Rashad Evans trying to close the distance to try to grind Sam Alvey and get the takedown. The rounds after did not go the same way. Evans started to fatigue early causing him to try and outbox Alvey with wild haymakers and overhands. Alvey just continued to use his jabs and straights on Evans. At first, Evans showed great head movement to avoid the strikes, but once the harsh climate started to set in it slowly disappeared. Alvey did great work and needs to learn to stay off the fence more.

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Martín “El Torro” Bravovs. Humberto Bandenay

This was insane. I thought Bravo’s submission skills would lead him to victory but every fight starts off on the feet. Humberto Bandenay threw a body kick at Bravo and then seconds later threw a head kick/knee to Bravo’s head. Bravo thought it would go to the body and attempted to catch it but instead would get stiffen up by a vicious knee. Bandenay just made himself known, but let’s see if he can create these kind of results again.

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Alan “Brahma” Jouban vs. Niko “The Hybrid” Price

Niko Price continued his undefeated streak against Alan Jouban when he knocked him out in the very first round. Jouban looked comfortable but Price had continuous pressure that eventually lead to a perfectly placed punch that dropped Jouban to get the victory. Price is definitely getting a ranked opponent after this and it would be a shame if he did not after that impressive performance.

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Randa “Quiet Storm” Markos vs. Alexa Grasso

This was a frustrating fight to watch. I though Randa Markos would have the better standup and be able to beat Grasso on the feet in this one. Instead, she repeatedly went after takedowns which at times were successful and at other times unsuccessful. The one thing they were successful at 100% of the time was depleting Markos energy. Grasso capitalized by outstriking a gassed Markos to get the win. I think next time Markos needs to understand the location she is fighting in so she can be better prepared for this type of fight. This was just a sloppy performance in a bout she could have won.

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Sergio Pettis vs. Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno

Finally, the main event between two flyweight standouts in Sergio Pettis and Brandon Moreno. The first round was a bit of a scare for Petttis when Moreno took the back of his opponent. For about three to four minutes Moreno was unable to get the choke on his opponent but was able to ride out until the end of the round. The following four rounds would be all Pettis as he was able to outstrike Moreno by a large margin. Moreno would be predictable with his large overhands and was only able to get Pettis down to the mat one more time in the last round but was unsuccessful in holding him there. This fight highlighted Pettis’ great takedown defense and striking which could see him get a title shot somewhere down the line.

Predictions vs. Actual Results:

Here are my prediction results with some interesting stats to go along with it:

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  • 50% of winners picked correctly
  • 33% of predictions were perfect
What's Going On?

What’s Going On? (May 7th – 13th, 2017)

A whole new week means a whole new set of MMA news and events that needs to be discussed by yours truly. So let’s get right into it with some interesting topics for this week:

Conor McGregor’s baby is born

The world finally got another Conor McGregor (as if one wan’t enough). The media is already making articles of him as you read this article that I wrote about him. It’s unknown how long McGregor is going to spend raising his child until he come back to the UFC, but at least we finally see something happen and maybe we will see him defend a belt after all…or maybe not.

Anderson Silva and Dana White have war of words

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UFC president, Dana White, and one of the greatest of all time, Anderson Silva, have now been going back and forth in regards to UFC 212 in Brazil. Anderson Silva has requested to fight Yoel Romero for the interim UFC Middleweight Championship at UFC 212 in his home country of Brazil while the current UFC Middleweight Champion, Michael Bisping, waits to defend his belt from Georges St-Pierre sometime after October. It made sense to me for Silva to get a interim title shot especially from a company that gave Dan Henderson a legit title shot after only one win when he wasn’t even in the top 10. But White had other ideas when he said he believd Silva should just retire. I think this is heavily disrespectful to a legend who has helped build the very company that White helps manage. But White does not care about any of his employees and only cares about the money they make him. He will give McGregor and immediate rematch after being submitted in the second round but will not give arguably the GOAT of MMA an interim title shot when the current champion is going to wait a full year in between title defenses? This saddens me especially since a lot of younger MMA fans agree with him. I feel we need a better send off for The Spider, but I guess I’m the only one that thinks so.

Kelvin Gastelum punished for failing marijuan test

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Some lighter news (smoking joke), Kelvin Gastelum recently tested positive for marijuana, which is banned in most MMA and athletic associations, and has thus been given a 90 day suspension from MMA and had his win against Vitor Belfort turned over to a no contest instead. This comes as no surprise and yet many people are up in arms against the decision to turnover the win to a no contest. I think, as much as I do not believe marijuana should be illegal in MMA, that this was Gastelum’s own fault. As a professional fighter you need to know what is legal to take and what is not so that you don’t get yourself in trouble. He should know that marijuana is illegal but decided to take it anyways. That to me is unprofesional. Now I know a lot of you are thinking to yourself that it is a dumb rule that should not even have a punishment to beging with and to that I agree with you. But if you do not like a rule then you need to find a better way to combat it then just not following it. There are many laws in the U.S. that people do not like and we don’t just go breaking them because we do not like them. That could lead to a fine or jail time. Instead there is a process to get the law changed or removed entirely. Gastelum should have chosen this but instead did the unprofessional thing of blazing it. I also blame his camp for letting him do that as well. Keep control of your fighter and this won’t happen.

Daniel Cormier explains the reason for so many Jon Jones supporters

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Daniel Cormier had a few choice words for his haters and the flock of sheep that follow Jon Jones when he was on the Edge and Christian Podcast of Awesomeness:

People don’t want to be told, ‘I’m good so you should cheer for me.’ Jon Jones is a guy that has made a lot of mistakes, so maybe people relate to him more. They go, ‘Forget this Daniel Cormier goody two-shoes, him and his kids and his family. I want the guy that does coke and parties and crashes cars. That’s the guy I want.’” – Daniel Cormier

He even related himself to that of John Cena and Roman Reigns who are good guys in the WWE but are booed because of being too good. Honestly it makes a lot of sense since Jon Jones is the bad boy and Daniel Cormier is his opposite. But I think it more has to do with Jon Jones just being the better athlete. People like to cheer for winners, and when Jon Jones got into trouble his fans turned on him. But when he announced his return, his fans ran back to the winning side that he was a part of. Unless Cormier beats Jones in a rematch, things will stay like this. But hey I’m a fan of you, Cormier, so there’s something you have going for you.

Some more Al Iaquinta news

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Al Iaquinta said to the UFC to “cut me you sissies” on twitter. If you expect me to talk any more about this then you’re out of luck. I really do not know what to say about him anymore. So here is the jist of what I’ve been thinking: Iaquinta is crazy, the UFC is crazier. They are a bitter angry ol couple that can’t stand eachother but can’t leave one another. That’s all for this episode of “What is Al Iaquinta Doing Now?

Other News: